The same V15.5.1 panel and eight analytical methods underpin every engagement — packaged differently depending on whether the question is operational, fiscal, legal, or transactional.
Category 01
Decommissioning Contractors
CoP-probability overlays, hub/cascade sequencing notes, forward watchlists, asset-type waste-stream forecasts
Field-by-field CoP probability tables overlaid on an existing client/asset list, flagging assets reaching CoP earlier than operator assumptions, with cascade sequencing for named infrastructure systems and a top-10 operator distress ranking as a contract-award timing tool.
Draws on: Cox PH primary model (V15.5.1, COX-13), CCM cascade model, CDS ranking, asset-type breakdown across the 479-field panel.
Category 02
Operators — Distress Cohort & New Entrants
RFP evaluation support, decommissioning sequencing strategy, embedded advisory, acquisition-cycle vulnerability assessment
Scoring matrices for decommissioning contractor bids against NSTA benchmarks, Q1–Q4 decision matrices for own-portfolio sequencing with SAM/ARO adequacy checks, and ongoing fractional strategic advisory covering board papers and investor communications.
Draws on: Cox PH on the operator's own fields, SAM recalibration (RATE-02=2.53%), full toolkit applied ad hoc as issues arise, WP4 Recurring Pattern Briefing for acquisition-cycle risk.
Category 03
Trade Body — OEUK
Decommissioning pipeline research notes, conference contributions, policy submissions
Basin-wide CoP probability summaries across all 1/2/3/5-year windows, the FPS metabolic-floor finding written for a policy audience, and the EPL causal-identification summary for reform advocacy — plus the carbon-arbitrage headline (28 vs 85 kgCO2e/boe, 3.04x) for conference and policy contexts.
Draws on: V15.5.1 headline findings, ITS EPL causal identification, FPS-01–08 register, CARB-01/02/03.
Category 04
Legal — Energy Disputes
Section 29 back-chain liability opinions, DSA default triage notes, Finch-related EIA NPV impact assessments
Field-specific Cox PH survival curves with EPL hazard decomposition as expert-report exhibits; CDS plus dividend-to-ARO ratio analysis distinguishing temporary liquidity issues from terminal distress; NPV sensitivity tables for consent-delay scenarios under S1/S2/S3 fiscal conditions.
Draws on: Cox PH single-field survival curve, epl_rate_lag2 covariate isolation, CDS and dividend-to-ARO analysis, S1/S2/S3 scenario synthesis.
Category 05
Restructuring & Insolvency Advisers
Section 29 back-chain liability quantification for live administrations, pre-acquisition/pre-administration diligence packs
Ownership chain-of-title maps showing prior owners with potential resurrected liability, per-owner crystallisation probability and timing, and ranked summaries for creditor committees — plus full-portfolio CoP probability tables and ARO-to-PP&E ratio analysis flagging under-provisioned assets ahead of an acquisition or administration.
Draws on: CDS plus ARO-stripping signal analysis, back-chain ownership mapping, section29_high HR=3.421, field-level Cox PH survival curves.
Case Study · The Waldorf Event
Following the May 5th High Court ruling, Waldorf Production UK entered administration — the first confirmed Section 29 crystallisation event of the current fiscal cycle, with liability now being actively back-chained to previous asset owners. This is the live precedent underpinning the back-chain liability quantification deliverable above.
Category 06
Asset Managers / Private Equity
Structural Suicide assessments, infrastructure throughput cascade models for named systems, portfolio survival audits
Credit-rating trajectory tracking combined with dividend-to-ARO ratio analysis and Section 29 resurrection-risk probability for legacy assets; FPS-style throughput cascade modelling applied to a named infrastructure system with field-by-field exit sequencing; per-asset and aggregated CoP probability curves benchmarked against the fund's original acquisition-model assumptions.
Draws on: Structural Suicide framework (CDS, dividend-to-ARO, LoC default triggers), CCM cascade model applied to named systems, Cox PH per-asset with SAM/ARO probability-weighting.